UK housebuilding sees biggest slump since COVID, threatening 1.5m homes target

A builder and timber next to a brick house shell
UK homebuilding is at its lowest levels since the COVID-19 pandemic (Image credit: Getty Images)

The UK’s construction industry is facing its longest slump since the COVID-19 pandemic.

Building a house is becoming harder as fewer projects are starting and construction work slows down.

Many builders are reporting tough conditions, with rising costs and fewer new orders making it difficult to keep up with demand.

This slowdown puts the government’s plan to build 1.5 million new homes by 2029 at serious risk.

Homebuilding sector decline deepens

The homebuilding sector experienced its sharpest decline since February, with the housing sub-sector PMI dropping to 44.2.

Civil engineering also saw a significant reduction, recording its lowest level since October 2020 at 38.1. These declines are primarily attributed to a lack of new projects and increased competition among firms.

Gareth Belsham, director of Bloom Building Consultancy, commented: "Things have gone from bad to worse for housebuilders, with residential construction output falling at its fastest rate since February."

Skills shortage threatens housing goals

bricklayer placing brick on outer skin of wall

There have been calls for more bricklayer teachers to help tackle work shortages in the industry (Image credit: Iryna Melnyk/Getty Images)

The UK's housing ambitions face an additional hurdle: a significant shortage of skilled workers.

Sara Roberts, Chief Operating Officer at Kingdom Academy, emphasised the need for investment in skills development to address the workforce shortage.

"With 140,000 more construction workers needed for the next five years to achieve the government's Warm Homes Plan, and another 61,000 each year to meet the target of 1.5 million new homes, considerable investment is needed to tackle skills shortages and deliver these targets," she stated.

Outlook remains uncertain

Despite some positive signals on the supply side, such as shortened delivery times and eased purchasing price inflation, the overall outlook for the construction sector remains bleak.

Business confidence has weakened, with only 34% of firms expecting growth in the coming year, the lowest level since December 2022.

Tim Moore, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, noted: "Construction activity has decreased throughout the year to date, the longest continuous downturn since early 2020."

The government's target of delivering 1.5 million new homes by 2029 is increasingly at risk, if this target hasn't already been abandoned, as the construction sector continues to face significant challenges.

Without substantial intervention to stimulate activity and address workforce shortages, the goal remains uncertain.

Joseph Mullane
News Editor

News Editor Joseph has previously written for Today’s Media and Chambers & Partners, focusing on news for conveyancers and industry professionals.  Joseph has just started his own self build project, building his own home on his family’s farm with planning permission for a timber frame, three-bedroom house in a one-acre field. The foundation work has already begun and he hopes to have the home built in the next year. Prior to this he renovated his family's home as well as doing several DIY projects, including installing a shower, building sheds, and livestock fences and shelters for the farm’s animals. Outside of homebuilding, Joseph loves rugby and has written for Rugby World, the world’s largest rugby magazine.